alf, I fear that it won't be seen as a human factors invest8igation, rather than with a pilot error slant.
It seems to me that the decision to divert may have been left way too long, and the holes in the swiss cheese started to line up. He seems to have closed off an option early in the event. Couyple that with an approach into conditions which may have prevented a go around (EVERY landing should be considered a potential go around), landing long, landing fast, wet runway, quartering tailwind, possibly a touch of get home-itis, and there are enough holes to give a logical conclusion.
Not saying it will never happen to me, but it looks like a number of cases of pilot error at this stage. Of course I'm relyingon what is reported here to be close to the facts.