The Odd One, has any aircraft ever overshot the runway at the railway end (sorry I don't have the heading numbers to hand) of LGW?
jabird,
The main runway is 08R in that direction, and I've no records of an over-run in EITHER direction, certainly not in the last 16 years. That's over 7.5 million movements on the runway without an over-run, which comes out as 'remote' as a risk factor. Of course, we like to work to 'extremely remote' ie 1 x 10 to the -9, so we look at other similarly-sized runways with similar levels of traffic, construction, weather etc and you can get down to this level of risk quite easily.
Actually, there's quite a lot before you get to the railway. The 'official' stop end of 08R is a little way before the end of the paved surface, then there's some flat grass before the first upstanding obstruction, which is the Localizer. Then there's an airside road, then the pushbike shelter and landside fence, which is probably the first non-frangible obstruction. Then there's a landside perimeter road, another fence, then the A23, a dual carriageway before you actually get to the railway line.
Sounds like your NIMBY has shot themselves in the foot.
Good luck with the Thompson programme this Summer; hope it attracts some more players.
Cheers,
The Odd One