Quality of UK Met office forecasting.

[roundwego]

Not sure if this strictly comes under "Tech Log" but couln't find anywhere more suitable.

Is it just my imagination or has the ability of the met office to provide useful forecasts been reducing year on year over the last 15 or so years?

Here is a typical TAF randomly picked off the list today.

1322 10014KT 6000 -RA FEW004 BKN009 TEMPO 1322 3000 -RADZ BKN004 PROB30 TEMPO 1322 1000 RADZ OVC002 PROB30 TEMPO 1322 9999 NSW BKN015

This TAF is no good to man nor beast as it effectively says;-

"The weather will be poorish but it might be bloody awful on the other hand it might be a fine flying day"

My view is that this is the Met Office's way off keeping their statistical accuracy high. Instead of working to produce more accurate forecasts, they widen the goalposts so wide they can't miss. Alternatively, have their legal advisors told them to cover all eventualities?

Anyone else of a similar mind? Would be particularly interested in the views of any Met Officers.