Well, I don't have enough inside knowledge to make a bet. It has nothing to do with the technical aspects, it's going to come down to who applied the most grease to which palms. Here in the good old USA, we have the best government money can buy (at least it has been bought), and bribing politicians is completely legal, as long as you call it a 'campaign contribution'. It's a pity that democracy has lost out to capitalism, but those are the facts.