High Wing Drifter;
I have seen- Prob 40 of strong winds, Prob 40 of low cloud and Prob 40 of poor visibility as well as the Prob 40 of sunshine, drizzle, rain, hail, snow (at times on the same day in the UK!).
But I have never seen an aviation forecast give a direct probability of disruption.
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Monocock,
As I said, your link provides information put in simple terms for the average member of the public.
There is no mention of the "disruption" in any of the aviation forecasts.............They do however give us the data that we can use to decide for ourselves if our plans are going to be disrupted.
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holyflyer,
For the surface wind at Cork read the 1000ft wind!!! - it's nearly that far up!!!
Interesting crosswind though - especially if the landing happens during a tempo!
Regards,
DFC