The warning today is suggesting a 40% chance of severe disruption in my area
I have yet to see such a warning provided by the met office in the aviation forecast.
We must not confuse the forecasting provided for the general public including warnings with the forecasts provided to aviation or indeed maritime operators.
To go down that road would lead to a rash of pilots complaining that there was a "sun" symbol on the weather forecast but they hit a hill while in cloud!!!!..........................ops, sorry but some UK pilot did that and hense the "warning cloud on hills" that we get on every UK briefing!
You can always tell the "experienced" pilots who haven't got a clue about the weather (forecast or actual) - they hang round the club and wait for someone else to go flying.......and then get airbourne on the basis of someone else's ability to deal with the weather and not their own!!
Regards,
DFC