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Old 15th August 2004 | 08:14
  #30 (permalink)  
swh

Eidolon
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Joined: May 2001
Posts: 2,244
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From: Some hole
planemad2,

I like you logic, but it is flawed...

The 146/RJ has been flying for much more time than the 777, basically only AlliedSignal & Lycoming as engine manufacturer for the 146/RJ family, you have multiple for the 777 (GE/PW/RR).

For each flight hour a 146/RJ does, it adds 4 hours to the number of hours the engine type has done in service. Similar, each flight hour a 777 does, it adds 2 hours to the number of hours the engine type for that manufacturer has done in service.

Now the mean time between failure (MTBF) is defined as

MTBF = (flying hours * aircraft quantity)/(number of confirmed failures)

The 777 has had a number of engine failures, can remember high speed rejects, inflight, and even the 777 demostration a/c in south africa have had failures. Its a new engine, has not flown a lot relative to the 146/RJ. A new engine is prone to more teathing problems than a proven engine.

So IMHO the MTBF on a 777 would be higher than that of a 146, purely because the maturity of the 146/RJ fleet, and the 4 times factor per flight hour vs 2 (maybe less if you consider the 3 777 engine manufacturers), the maturity of the engine, and the single engine manufacturer for the aircraft.

However, I do see the 777 MTFB to increase, and the 146/RJ one to stay static or decrease.


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