Here's my guess at what will happen: July 2004 - cancel FSTA project. March 2005 pass all Pax/freight to charter/Tri*; commit 12 VC10s to be available for Tanker tasking at any time. Scrap 1 VC10 every year until 2015 - use spare parts generated to rectify 12 jets in service. 2015 - different government; somebody else's problem, but look how much money we saved off the defence budget when we were in power etc.