I fear you may be right, FAA Old Timer, which doesn't fill my heart with joy. I'm also an EAA member and notice that despite significant levels of criticism from certain minorities over Sport Pilot they seem to have weathered the storm fairly well. I guess the ultralight people are none too pleased about Sport Pilot, but when all is said and done fat ultralights have been tearing the backside out of CFR 14 Part 103 for years, so they shouldn't really be too surprised at the changes.
Overall I really wish that our PFA could be managed even 10% as effectively as the EAA. I know that the PFA is much smaller, but that doesn't excuse the lamentable degree of mis-management that seems to have been such a feature over the past few years.
In my view there is a place for dedicated associations to both look after the particular individual specialist interests of their members and work together with other bodies, without competition, to represent a cohesive recreational aviation federation. Perhaps this is just a pipe dream, but I do feel it would make us more effective when trying to fend of madness like compulsory Mode S etc.