Originally Posted by
BonnieLass
To be perfectly honest with you
gums I find it quite incredible that both the US and Israel were so naive in thinking that the Iranians would not lay claim to the Strait of Homuz and, effectively, weaponise it...in every sense of the word. ...........
Good post!
The reason I think that such an eventuality was not
seriously considered was because the June 2025 bombing of the Iranian nuclear facilities didn't result in that. However, the Iranians discussed closing the Straits but never implemented anything, probably because it was all over by the time they decided to do it. But, in having that debate in-country they had signalled to the world the future potential quite clearly.
So, maybe it was decided between Washington and Tel Aviv that "well, they didn't react much in 2025 so let's really clobber them now coz the won't do anything apart from throw the towel in and beg for mercy and they won't be around long enough to close the Straits".
Of course we all know what has happened. No surrender from Iran and they are just putting into action a policy they announced back in 2025.
The REAL issue is that the US and Israel have landed themselves with their version of the so-called Russian 3-day SMO with no way of hiding that. And, since closing the Straits is their best "weapon" Iran will not drop it until after the US has given up and gone home. Washington knows that but has no off ramp.
I suspect Iran, sanctions or no, have no thoughts of removing their hold over the Straits. It's a smart way to ramp up pressure on the US too. Indeed, every day that passes without the US leaving makes it more likely that they'll continue the blockade anyway even after the US goes home. That is the long-term danger.
Ho hum! And it simply rolls on...........
