I thought the A-10s, Apaches and F-18s were there to engage the speedboats?
ISW:
https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2...393070298?s=20
NEW: Iran’s efforts to reconstitute its military capabilities during the ceasefire period are consistent with the behavior of any military organization when given time and space to reconstitute itself after combat. These tactical and operational reconstitution efforts, however, do not necessarily offset the strategic effects achieved during the war against ballistic missile production facilities.
Other Key Takeaways:
Iran’s growing emphasis on the Strait of Hormuz reflects a broader, emerging consensus around the idea that the Strait of Hormuz must be central to Iranian strategy and deterrence in the future. Iranian strategy before October 7 and the events thereafter, including the Spring 2026 war, revolved primarily around ballistic missiles, drones, and its proxy and partner network as deterrents and force projection tools. Naval assets around the Strait of Hormuz featured only secondarily and as part of this wider three-pillar system.
Some regime officials and outlets have floated new ideas about how the regime could use the Strait of Hormuz to discourage behavior that the regime believes is contrary to its interests. Many of these proposals, if accepted and operationalized, would also provide Iran with new revenues that would enable it to reconstitute its military forces.
Some regional states appear to be complying with Iranian-imposed transit procedures in the Strait of Hormuz, which normalizes Iran’s claim that vessels need Iranian permission to transit the waterway. Five unspecified sources told Reuters on May 12 that Iraq and Pakistan reached agreements with Iran to move crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) through the strait.
https://x.com/WindwardAI/status/2054...233464231?s=20
IRGC Speedboat Activity — Strait of Hormuz | May 13
Windward Multi-Source Intelligence across the five monitored zones show ~342 speedboats today. This represents a step-down from yesterday’s 454, but remains elevated compared with the 27–230 range observed between May 4-10.
- North corridor: 189 (persistent footprint)
- Mid strait: 73 (today’s primary growth zone)
- North-east: 37
- East: 22 (sharp decline from 240 on May 12)
- South: 21
Key observations:
• The North corridor continues to show the most consistent presence.
• The East zone concentration along the Bandar Seerik shore did not persist.
• Activity appears to be shifting weight back toward the central chokepoint.
For full context and real-time maritime intelligence, access the Windward dashboard → https://t.co/SWSbbHcGrW
