Originally Posted by
arf23
lets face it, if Iran grabs just one American serviceman and parades them on TV then the US Military is tied up in knots, possibly for decades
I hope they have their tailors on standby to manufacture lots of ill fitting suits.
Isn't it Ironic that you tend to believe the information that is coming out of Iran re the talks, more than the information the American side is putting out.
Yes but is Iran capable of a set-piece battle to defend a vital asset? Is its military training and organisation such that its dispersed and mosaic nature can prevail against a surprise schwerpunkt operation using all the modern disinformation , cyberwarfare and shock and awe that the US forces have in their doctrine?.
And how did that pan out for the US in Afghanistan.... Ohh, wait it didn't, it dragged on for years with the US making a scrappy withdrawal that made the fall of Saigon look positively well executed. When you are fighting a war on someone else's patch of land, they naturally have the upper hand.
And even if they do succeed in taking the Islands, then what, you are going to have to maintain a credible force on those islands to hold and defend them for the next several decades to ensure the route stays open, and as sure as the US hasn't got a plan for this, Iran will simply move back in when that force becomes unsustainable.
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