Originally Posted by
DogTailRed2
If we can't open the Strait what happens when the oil runs out? What's plan B?
The biggest issue is not "when the oil runs out". There are alternate sources of supply in terms of crude, albeit driving up prices and - in the case of that nice Mr Putin - being unpalatable. But its essentially a short-term issue.
The one that has everyone bricking it is when the available storage for the wells in the area is full. At that point, wells start to have to be shut, which has serious longer term implications as to being able to open them back up and the timescale for doing so.
That is the number one driver for opening the Straits. It beggars belief that CENTCOM have not had a list of targets (eg mine storage depots, harbours, IRGC coastal bases) marked "Mallet these asap to reduce risk to tanker traffic". If they don't the J2 cell needs an interview without coffee.