Originally Posted by
NutLoose
Another case of fools announcing a war is over, without the other side agreeing to it.
The old "home by Christmas" from the Korean War. Doesn't anyone learn from Mil History? Wait, people who do that are "deep state" and get fired.
As to your other points, Iran is targeting the seams of the "coalition" of KSA and the Gulf States. This is similar to (but in detail different than) what Saddam did in '91 when he launched Scuds at Israel - hit the local allies and get them to buckle / fold in terms of a cohesive political team. The slow erosion of the Coalition in Iraq (2003-2010) is another example for comparison, albeit over a much longer time period.
Originally Posted by
MechEngr
This is why the one company declined to allow their AI to be used for such planning and is now being black-balled by the administration; the administration wants to have someone or something else to blame avoidable disasters for.
Mech, despite ending that sentence in a preposition, you took the words right out of my mouth.
FWIW, there is a recent case of this (late 2023 through mid 2024, and possibly longer than that) where in Gaza it became known that the IDF was using some kind of algorithm to parse various RoE and arrive at go-no-go decisions, which a bunch of us observed as far looser RoE than any of us had ever experienced.
One wonders if the people in the Petulant Pete's DoD had chosen to take that as a lesson learned? Not to mention, the IDF is involved in this current operation, so there may be a number of things that are quite different from any coalition ops that I was familiar with...
Originally Posted by
ORAC
Looks like Trump wants an off-ramp and a way out of the war - but Iran isn’t interested.
At the moment, with the new guy just recently ascending, and getting his inner circle organized, it's small wonder they aren't discussing this.
They can't be seen to be weak/beaten down, can they?
Whatever they do has to be sold to the home audience. Not only that, but a few days ago the foreign minister had pointed out that last year, and this year, while negotiating with the US over weapons matters the US struck them while negotiations were ongoing, so he can certainly make the case at this point of "why would we negotiate with you if during those talks you'll start bombing us again if you run out of patience?"
And that's a fair point to make from the Iranian point of view.