I guess the only way to find out is to apply and see where it goes. Reminder that you'll need a UK medical. Don't know when your last one was; I believe that up to five years you can do a renewal, after that it's a renewal that's like an initial but not quite: "If your certificate expired more than 5 years before your application to renew it, the renewal examination must be carried out at an AeMC, following the process for initial issue but with the fitness assessment based on revalidation requirements".
Good luck, anyway