Originally Posted by
T28B
The author makes the assumption, it seems to me, that Iran has been busily re-arming since the dust settled.
I recall something from years ago about "necessary and sufficient" assumptions.
While it would make sense to re-arm, after that 12 day military action, would that not create a 'signature' that is detectable by Western (and Israeli) Intelligence outfits?
(posted as neither mod nor admin).
I would think Iran is one of the most closely monitored pieces of real estate in the world (along with North Korea) - so I doubt much could go on without the US and/or Israel knowing.
A couple of months before the '12 day war', Israel responded to an Iranian attack by an air attack that pretty much emasculating Iran's air defenses - and it would appear that little of that had been restored before the latest unpleasantries.
Besides, where are they going to get replacements? It's not like Russia has a huge surplus available for export now days...