Originally Posted by
ORAC
The HEU can be carried in canisters which will fit in the back of any military vehicle. There will literally be hundreds of such arriving and departing from the sites daily loading and unloading out of sight.
Once a vehicle has left a site it can stop in any tunnel or any loading bay or garage and the contents moved to any other vehicle and moved elsewhere. A tactics which can be performed multiple times.
The idea that the presence of the HEU could be confirmed, let alone tracked, by satellite or drone surveillance is something reserved for Mission Impossible movies.
The only one’s I’d suspect have any idea of it’s location, based on HUMINT, not ELINT which I suspect the Iranians will be paranoid about in such circumstances, will the Israelis with people on the ground who have infiltrated the programme over the years.
HEU possibly under the scenarios you outline, but tracking of hundreds of targets by IMINT or ELINT is indeed feasible.
These systems deployed at altitude can visually monitor an entire city, and effectively re-wind what they see.
Google the term Wide Area Persistent Surveillance.
Effectively they are military digital video surveillance recorders paired with highly sophisticated multi-lens camera systems, and software which can stitch the imagery together enabling analysts to zoom in on parts of the image - highlight an object or person of interest and then backtrack a path.