Originally Posted by
Una Due Tfc
To be fair SAS, Bibi has been saying Iran are months away from having a bomb since 1992 and we're still waiting, your own DNI said there was no evidence they were building a bomb in March. The messaging hasn't been very clear or consistent. If the Ayotallah falls, are we looking at millions of people fleeing to Europe similar to Libra, Syria, Afghanistan etc? Does Iran fragment into various enclaves run by warlords?
Building a gun type Uranium bomb is simple; the American bomb dropped on
Nagasaki Hiroshima wasn't even tested as the numbers were so good for a successful detonation there was no need for a test. If the enriched Uranium is available and design has been done it wouldn't take long to make a weapon. An implosion type device would take longer, but so much information is floating around short cuts could be taken.
There was an exercise done years ago in the U.S. with recent physics graduates who were asked to design a Uranium bomb from public materials. It took two of them (might have been three) less than a year to come up with a working design. It's getting the Uranium (and making it small) that's the hard part.
It's considered true that South Africa actually built bombs and tested one in the south Atlantic with Israel but dismantled them. Here's a great site on nuclear weapons with technical and historic information:
https://nuclearweaponarchive.org/