Originally Posted by
Una Due Tfc
To be fair SAS, Bibi has been saying Iran are months away from having a bomb since 1992 and we're still waiting, your own DNI said there was no evidence they were building a bomb in March.
She did, and within the last 48 hours DJT said that she is wrong. For whatever that is worth.
If the Ayotallah falls, are we looking at millions of people fleeing to Europe similar to Libra, Syria, Afghanistan etc? Does Iran fragment into various enclaves run by warlords?
Yes to both seems a valid answer, at this point in time. The IRGC will take over, though. That's my $20 dollar bet in Vegas.
Originally Posted by
Coupez
It seems some have forgotten that the Hiroshima bomb consisted of 64kg of enriched U-235 divided into two lumps, which were driven together in a gun barrel by means of a cordite charge. That's all that's needed to produce a fission (not fusion) explosion. Inefficient, yes; but it killed about 60k people and destroyed a medium sized city. There's no reason to think such a thing wouldn't work as well today as it did in 1945, and if your goal is to create terror and mass casualties, it works perfectly well.
It's not that big and heavy, so there are plenty of ways to deliver it that don't involve missiles - or even aircraft.
I suspect that is why the Powers That Be decided it was too dangerous for the present regime in Iran to possess any quantity of highly enriched U-235...
Well, when some bomb somewhere blows up, what will the reaction be?