Originally Posted by
soarbum
The following is random musings after beer, free to poke holes as deserved
In these unpredictable time, I wonder if the recent barrage by Iran may actually contribute (perhaps unintentionally) to de-escalation.
The earlier telegraphed one had almost 100% interception but on the previous occasion Iran didn't seem to be trying.
In the last one, it is being played down but a reasonable portion seem to have gotten through and video evidence as well as pics of holes in a hangar roof suggest that they have some level of guidance.
I imagine that the likes of patriot/arrow/sling will take out the first wave but it seems that concurrent arrivals of ballistic missiles are an issue.
If Iran launches 1000 instead of 200, will the number taken out be the same or maybe double but all of the rest get through?
If the Israeli missile defence is not a good as they thought it was, the last episode may raise the prospect of having every power station and transformer farm targetted next time if they up the ante.
Maybe they will stick to leveling buildings/schools/hospitals in Gaza, Beruit and the West Bank now that they have normalised the practice of never actually having to supply any actual evidence to justify their claims that these strikes meet any kind or moral or legal bar.
How many beers did you have?
Is there any more advice you want to pass on to the bad actors?
What's with you? Oh I see now, your Irish.