Originally Posted by
SASless
The Wild Card in this is Turkey. Is their Boss Fellah just talking smack or is he serious about intervening and does he have the support of his. own military and populace for doing that?
Having seen how Erdogan has acted in such ambiguous scenarios in the past I'm quite confident he won't do much if anything apart from pleasing his audience by talking big words. In geostrategic matters he is pragmatic. Just look at Russia/Ukraine. He has never escalated on either side. Same with Aserbaidschan. Supporting? Yes. Engaging? No. Syria: Except from bombing the poor Kurds (which is the only constant pattern) he hasn't done much. Moreover he won't want to finish off his supply of Fighter Aircraft or updates of those from the US for good.