Looking at the Google Earth images of Gao airport, they touched down on 06L abeam of a service road a little past the taxiway leading to the main apron, giving them ~1000m of paved runway remaining (out of 2500). It took them 12 seconds to use up the runway, implying an average (!) speed of 300 kph. There is a further 380m flat overrun area, which took another 7 seconds before going down the ravine, equating to 195kph. By the look of it, there was hardly any deceleration or lateral deviation, wreckage is right on the centerline.
Il-76 nominal required landing distance is 930-1000m. This landing should have been aborted well before touchdown, but even so, all other things heading north they should have been able to stop at least in the overrun zone.
Last edited by andrasz; 29th Sep 2023 at 13:52.