Originally Posted by
Poto
Let’s hope so. I’ve been around far too long to put faith in 10year fleet plans. Looking at the market QF want to serve a 50/50 mox of 220’s & 321’s makes more sense than a 30/70 mix.
The replacement project is a 10 year plan. In 10 years Australia’s population is projected to be about 15% higher. Co-incidentally that’s the pax capacity increase from the 738. In terms of available airports and terminal space the only planned new space is WSI (which is too far out of Sydney to take real loads off SYD) and maybe new terminals in BNE and PER that haven’t been approved. Terminal space is at a premium today. They need the biggest narrowbodies they can park on those gates, and they’d need 50% more A220s than the equivalent 321s.
Even if your prediction of 50/50 was true they have a total of 134 narrowbody aircraft they’re planning on getting, so that’s still 67 A321s. The 134 number was based on projected passenger numbers in 10 years.