With the 27 routes they announced for the launch one would assume that they would have anticipated a few fails along with some wins
I really believe AB could well find themselves in the box seat
Giving the underperforming routes a couple of months to gain traction, then, if still failing, go to their plan B routes
If they end up with 25 or so viable routes, then they will move onto phase 2 in a strong position
TBH I can't see many more unserved pairs
Hobart or Launceston to Sunny Coast, though these would likely be part of their plan B rather than phase 2
Albion Park (with a terminal upgrade) possibly, Port Headland or Broome perhaps
I still believe phase 2 would be going heads up against JQ on the holiday market
I really can't imagine QF/JQ competing on ABs launch routes as most will only ever be 2-4 flights per week
I also believe AB knows exactly what to expect from QF/JQ when they have a crack and have a plan....