Originally Posted by
Ninthace
How long do the inhabitants of PPRuNe think Taiwan would last in the face of a full blown assault by PRC and hands up who thinks that running out of POL will be a problem for them?
Unknowable. There is no evidence that PRC is any better at war fighting than RF. There is no evidence that Chinese military equipment is any better than Russian. They don't know for sure what the US response would be. They don't know what the international response would be. Maybe they can reduce Taiwan to a charred ruin and kill millions of people but what do they gain from that and at what cost? If they roll the iron dice they immediately lose control of the situation and anything can happen. Many here seem to view the Chinese as master strategists for some reason, but Xi comes over as a bog standard megalomaniac and this seems like an extraordinarily stupid thing to do.