Originally Posted by
Spunky Monkey
The Russians see Sevastopol as theirs and have a large Naval contingent there.
It would be very very difficult for Ukraine to capture unless there is a Russian capitulation along the who front which seems unlikely unless there is the removal of Putin and his pals.
The bigger concern would be the tactical use of a bucket of sunshine as a warning.
If Sevastopol is in imminent danger of falling then the Russians would likely have been pushed back over the border along the front, and without knowing the full US ultimatum, (most likely they will only attack Russian positions in Ukraine), then the Russians have less to loose and are safe over the border.
Putting the UN in there may help a little, but I suspect very few countries will agree to send peacekeepers and it will turn into a counter insurgency mess.
I thought global warming had rendered the need for a warm water port a moot point as Russia now has ports that no longer freeze up in the Black Sea. Sevastopol was only rented to Russia.