Originally Posted by
FUMR
Rehearsal for WW III? Let's be serious, Putin will be long gone before such an outcome. From some of your comments I sometimes think that you actually wish for WW III langleybaston.
Nah, LB has not advocated 3.0.
Putin has some conflicting issues that are now compounding. His acolytes, his cook who is sending out his recipe taster packs to sundry governments, and the last man standing in Chechnya, are in an increasing conflict with the Russian army, and are showing colours of taking on Putin directly. Now Vlad may not be in the best of nick at present, but those seem to be ill considered positions for the underwriters of Prigozin and Kadyrov, both who have nothing in the way of popular support from the military or the public of the
death star federation. By the end of this next week Russia will pass a historic point in losses, 100,000 is a round number, Those figures are being given as 200's, not including 300's and captured players from the red team. It is normal for each side to inflate their estimates of the other sides losses and suppress their own losses, but there is a lot of evidence that Russia has had severe losses, the number is not going to be far off the estimate. Suspect that the Russian wounded will be lower than the assumed 3:1 case, medieval and patient care is not their forte. Out of the thousands of images so far, there are only two I can recall where the squad members cared for their compatriots. Ukraine on the other hand has expended a great effort on recovering wounded and getting them to aid. Ukraine may be well above the 3:1 injuries to fatalities.
Winter is not favourable to Russia, unless they have a functional MSR, and there is scant evidence of that being the case. The losses even during reduced mobility will be severe, and that increases Count Vlads problems in all areas other than the airforce and navy, who are sitting around the heaters at base more than being effective in the field.
Russia's economy and infrastructure are hardly in much better condition than Ukraine, and that is directly related to Vlad's holiday plans. Overall, Russia has managed to remove about 1 Million of it's youngsters, by becoming numbers like 200, 300's and by vacating the pleasure of life under Vlad to be somewhere else. Vlad is planning to traumatise another couple of million of the same generations, and the supply of the next generations of Russian Federation citizens seems problematic to being able to sustain any population level.
All in all, Vlad's latest opinion that he won't negotiate unless the theft of Ukrainian land by Russia is accepted seems to be a bit muddled in reasoning. Vlad doesn't have to worry about Ukraine as the greatest risk any more, even though they never were a risk; the greatest risk to the federation of Russia is Vlads sqandering of it's future by removing a critical generation of citizens, flushing the economy down the toilet, making his former clients of energy reconsider any reliance on Russia for anything, facilitating Prigozin and Kadyrov as possible contenders in the toss the tsar from the window games, causing conditions conducive to mutiny within the military, and depleting the arms of the state to the point that the vassal states of the federation have to be wondering why they look to Vlad as their saviour, he's not even called Brian.
Next few months will be interesting to see unfold, Ukraine has managed their responses deftly, Vlad has been deaf to reason and blind in his aspirations.
