With what appears to be a [choose as applicable: rout/withdrawal under fire/planned retreat/advance in the opposite direction] it would seem that Russia has little further need for the Antanovski bridge, which would be an ugly but possible direction of advance for Ukraine following
Bug out Doug Vamoose Vladimir.... so that probably needs the underwriters to start sorting out their paperwork.... and of course, only a madman would drop the Kakhovka dam out of spite, which has a non zero chance of messing up South Russia, China, and Turkey and [select location: Burundi/Bermuda/Botswana/Eritrea/Serbia..... ]. Presumably there is a point where the globe will call it as it is, and declare Russia as a criminal & terrorist state. I've been holding my breath on the UN actually getting as much moral fortitude as the wonderful young lady PMs of the Scandinavian and Baltic Govts, to the amusement of Lonewolf 50 for long enough that I am now ready for a screen audition for Avatar 2.0!
Bringing down the dam is a really really bad idea. Won't look good on Vlad's resume, he needs to be careful how he thinks that one through, pretty sure Xi and the Southern states of Russia and the rest of the planet won't find it amusing not to need lighting for the next 20,000 years. Good news will be no more little Vladomirs, at least none with 10 fingers and toes. ZNPP is 6 1Gw reactors... that's 3.4Gw thermal output, and spent fuel for what, 25 years, sitting in the same location needing cooling, and Vlad thinks it's amusing to melt the whole thing down at a tributary to the Black Sea, and upwind of the most fertile land in Russia? Rough order, there is about just on 50 times more radiological badness from ZNPP than the one RBMK whoopsie at Chornobyl #4 reactor bingle and corium event.
- "It is connected to the Mediterranean Sea by the Bosporus and the Sea of Marmara, and to the Sea of Azov by the Strait of Kerch."
- "Important cities along the Black Sea coast include: Istanbul, Turkey; Burgas, Bulgaria; Constanta, Romania; Odessa, Ukraine; Sochi, Russia; and Poti, Georgia".
- "The population of the greater Black Sea basin is more than 160 million".
There is little amusing about the actions at the dam. Of course, once the mess has contaminated the black sea, and has proceeded into the Sea of Marmara, down the Dardanelles and out into the Med, then all bets are off. That would seem to be a terrorist radiological attack against.... Turkey, Romania, Ukraine, Georgia, Greece, Italy, Cyprus, Lebanon, Israel, Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, France, Spain, Algeria, Morocco.... (catch breath on the rant...) and.... Portugal... then we are off to the races. The upper flow of Atlantic water is eastbound, into the Med, the lower layers of heavier, colder water flow westwards. Have no idea where radioactive debris will end up, I would think in the lower bits, and that then is an issue to one n' all outside of the med. water flow in the Suez depends on the season, and the position in the system...
Interesting way to make friends and win harts... screw up 35% of global grain production out of a hissy fit. What a
whiner. winner whiner, wino, whiner
And for military aviation content: probably makes it open season for every Russian person, and piece of kit in the soon to be irradiated ex annexed, soon to be wasteland bits of Ukraine. That should be an impressive push.Still not convinced on the survivability of the F-35 in beast mode, will be interesting to see though. About time.
And for Civil Aviation content: The NOTAM for that would be interesting.... or the weather forecast... what is the code for radioactive fallout clouds? CBRX? STPU? GLOW? OOPS?