Originally Posted by
wondering
The Ukraine - Poland border is rather long. I reckon, RU has neither the capacity nor the ability to close it off. Does RU still have a credible airborne force left? For how long are they trying to take Bakhmut now? How much longer can they defend Cherson? RU has quite a few issues. Oh, and winter is coming.
Russia has solved the winter problem, as the girl says, she's getting thermal sights for the Russian troops to keep them warm.
Ukraine has already reminded us that surprise has a quality all of it's own... and the last 8 months of Vlad's rat cunning of setting a low bar and failing to achieve that target, may put the Ukrainians in a false sense of security, which seems hard to imagine while the weather forecast is cool with a hint of cruise missiles.
The threat is an advance that comes down the western side of Ukraines border with Poland, putting pressure on the Ukraine supply line. Nothing recently indicates Russia has the force, logistics or command capability to do much, but they could get lucky if given half a chance.