Originally Posted by
tartare
But is the total collapse of the Federation a given if the Russian military is decimated?
No, but that's the best opportunity there is, and Kremlin knows the facts. This can be viewed against budget proposals for 2023.
Issue for uprisings being that the internal security forces in Russia are bigger than the armed forces. In essence the national guard, the police forces, the intelligence and border guards. Of roughly 2,3million people in the forces altogether 1,2 million is within these other forces.
Now coming to the budget, the budget increments for state security for 2023, internal security gets 45% increment as the armed forces get only 39% increment. That says a lot about what Vlad the Mad is really worried about.
In essence the spend in between internal and external security is roughly 1:1
The budget proposal for 2023 considers almost 5 trillion rubles ($82.6 billion) for defense and 4.2 trillion rubles ($69.4 billion) for security and law enforcement, up from the previously planned 3.6 trillion rubles ($59.5 billion) and 2.9 trillion rubles ($47.9 billion), respectively
https://jamestown.org/program/russia...ing-2022-2023/
Comparing this to any free world nation highlights how afraid the Kremlin is of internal uprisings: the US spends reportedly 180billion USD yearly on policing and incarceration, For FY2023 defense budget request will exceed $773 billion. In essence the spend relation internal/external security is 1:4
I'll take a smaller country as a comparison: for Finland the ratio is 1:7 (900million euros vs 6,1 billion euros)