Originally Posted by
ORAC
Putin’s speech.
As expected, mobilisation of all reserves, annexation of the invaded Ukranian Oblasts including Kherson and a threat of the use of nukes if any attempt is made to reclaim them.
So it begins then.
Now the hard part for the Z-team
- Russia abandoned its mobilization infrastructure in 2000's as part of the army reform, mobilization will take a lot of time.
- Even though they are announcing the mobilization of 300000 troops, how and where will those be grouped and led by whom, as they've already consumed the professional lower level commanders in Ukraine.
- Gathering those troops from their daily jobs and lifes will be a pain in the ass for Putins cronies, as NOT ONE OF THEM is willingly and voluntarily joining the army (otherwise they already would've joined as there were promises of money, loot and glory which in practice are now forbidden by martial law)
- Where will they find the kit to equip 300k troops? They are already struggling with the original force having to send T62's and Mosin-Nagant 1891's to the front.
- The will to fight will be all time low due to all of the above: They have not joined earlier for they all see their current lives too valuable, they will be badly equipped, it'll be months in between the letter and actually getting to the front and by then it'll be the worst time of the year to feel miserable and die in the trenches,
As mentioned earlier, NOW is the time for Ukraine to go forth and time for the west to send them all the long range goods there is from missiles to AC. Why long range? To make the supply chain as short as possible. Russia is in trouble if their train tracks are cut, they have no other means to transport all the troops and the supplies to the front and they have little to none means to cut modern Ukrainian supply chains. The further back the positions are, the easier it is for Ukraine to resupply and protect the platform. 300km range MLRS means that Ukraine can hit all the Russian targets safely from UKR controlled area with shortest possible supply chain making counter battery actions futile. The russkies aren't really afraid that Ukraine sends greetings to the Russian territory, they are afraid that they can't do nothing about the MLRS if the positions are so far back from the front. Include Leos, Abrams, Gepards, PASIs, AAA, mobile artillery, AGM-88, everything that can be of use. Ukraine has the manpower, they mobilized 400k troops already in the spring and many of them has now been trained, they still have at least the same amount of people available. They are however missing the tools.