Is Ukraine about to have a war?

[fdr]

Originally Posted by NutLoose

They are retreating from Melitopol and heading to Crimea?. It almost makes you wonder if someone else is now in control of their military.
https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/...76560630005760

Curious. So the west coast of the. Sea of Azov gets depleted with invaders, and the Red team congregates in... Crimea, which is dependent on:

1. Water supply from Kherson via the canal... ;
2. Airbridge to Russia at targets Airports;
3. The Kerch target Bridge.
4. Shipping to the west coast of the Sea of Azov, and to Crimea. "There seems to be something wrong with our bloody ships today"... [ Beatty, Jutland, 1916]

What could possibly go wrong with that plan...


In the meantime, Russian activity in what ends up being a salient around eastern Donbas comes from limited rail lines. 5 (Five)... in range of slingshots, let alone Su-25, Mi-17, HIMARS, 155's....

Nothing wrong with that plan Igor...

Just in case the nutters are still in charge, distributing forces might be a nice idea for Ukraine, something outside of TNW badness circles might be prudent.