Some random observations ..
We have no pilot shortage as long as mainlanders can't travel. Which will be a long time still.
Many will keep resigning well into next year as their new job offers arrive/ plans fall into place - so end of this year resignations won't be a true reflection of how many will leave.
Covid restrictions in hkg will continue for much longer than anyone thought.
Cx is basically bankrupt so don't expect much of an improvement to cos18 any time soon.
CX is now a contract employer but without any of the pay/rostering/commuting etc guarantees a(for example) 5 year Korean contract offers.
CX offers you absolutely zero ability to plan how your pay, your promotion, your fleet, your housing and benefits or any other aspect of you career will progress .
They still prefer to replace the majority of the current disgruntled pilot workforce with happier new hires.
Latest FOP update explicitly mentions rank upgrades/promotion now entirely based on personal records and performance. Seniority is officially dead. You go sick you don't get upgraded is the clear message. Command upgrades out of seniority soon. Many more will resign as a result.
Big threat now is a drop in cargo rates as the recession sets in while at the same time more cargo capacity comes online worldwide. Potential for cx losses to actually increase and passenger aircraft doing cargo only flying to end up being parked again.
Last edited by missingblade; 1st Sep 2022 at 03:49.