With the best will in the world, and I'm sure nobody on pprune will be startled by my revelation, however, I doubt that Boris Johnson will still be PM anywhere near 2030. If we have any other government, unless we are blessed with a Tom Tugenhat, Oliver Tobias or Johnny Mercer type of PM, we will see defence spending fudged at best. That's imagining that the climate of a second cold war continues to prevail. If Putin is no longer President of Russia, his replacement will have to be particularly outwardly aggressive, with threats etc, to see western countries maintain any kind of pledge to a more realistic defence posture. We can be sure Boris and everyone else are sold on the panacea of cibre, AI etc rather than actual force expansion. Oh, and replacing Trident.
FB