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Old 17th May 2022, 16:19
  #46 (permalink)  
Jan Olieslagers
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Ansião (PT)
Posts: 2,782
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No crystal ball is thick or big enough for making a reliable forecast five years ahead. Some general tendencies I seem to discern - without claiming to be Jeremiah :
* diesel, or something like it, will need to be available for the sake of road transport; the first fossil fuel to disappear will be AvGas, other variants of gasoline to follow rapidly;
* five years from here, electric may have found solutions to safety issues, so that it can be applied with an acceptable degree of safety for circuit flying/training;
* for cross-country flying, all depends on infrastructure, indeed; and that will depend on state subsidies, and those will not go primarily to private aviation.

My reply to your query would be diesel - and plant a few acres of rapeseed. Except if you foresee to be happy with circling your local church spire, batteries might well develop fast enough for that.
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