PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - AA757 Near Stall - Recovery Caused Injuries
Old 13th May 2022, 17:37
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alf5071h
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
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vilas,
First how can you explain knowledge of the extent or quality of the crews ‘ignorance’.
Unlikely, pure speculation based on your assessment of the event with hindsight. False reasoning from the outcome, backward to deduce cause … Not so.

How many similar events have been encountered without a problem.

Second, how can you know the quality of the crews instrument scan; presuming that you were not there nor have discussed the issue with the crew.

Hindsight bias; https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/hindsight-bias
Individual effects -
… If we look back at past decisions and conclude that their consequences were indeed known to us at the time (when they weren’t), then it makes sense that we will overestimate our ability to foresee the implications of our future decisions. This can be dangerous, as our overconfidence may lead us to take unnecessary risks. …


Also see the related biases: Regret Aversion, Cognitive Dissonance, Dunning–Kruger Effect
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