Jets have started recalling Pilots with plenty of seat changes this year. We’re about 50 names into the recall list, but not everyone has accepted a start, instead opting to take LWOP for various reasons. I suspect many of them will already be penciled in for later courses.
Anyway, the biggest limiting factor is going to be Airframes. We’ve permanently retired 8x 772’s during COVID, and the 787’s set to replace them don’t start deliveries until late next year, assuming Boeing can sort their QC out! 773’s are slowly getting reactivated and the A320 fleet Is restoring its manpower levels so that’s driving this years courses and recalls. After that, I expect there to be a constant trickle for the next 3 years or so as the 787’s get delivered.
On one hand, this could be quite positive for regional pilots moving to the Jet fleet as the regionals should be able to cope with the demand meaning most hires would be internal.
On the other hand, it could take another 3 years to recall everyone post COVID if we’re short on frames waiting for deliveries.