Originally Posted by
dead_pan
It will be interesting to see how this plays out if Russian equipment losses do continue apace. So far there's been no real indication that other units from his military will be committed, just reports of Syrian and Wagner mercenaries and the "will-they-won't-they?" Belarussian forces. Maybe he's holding back in fear of trouble at home or in the various regions where he has his forces committed?
The flip-side is, I doubt the kit the Ukrainians have captured will make up their losses, let alone give them the means to mount a credible counter-offensive.
This latter point is vexing me somewhat - despite their incredible efforts, I can't see a way Ukrainians will be in a position to kick the Russians out of their country any time soon, unless NATO really opened the taps with military aid. And how then would Vlad react, faced with an even more ignominious defeat?
If the numbers fighting are approximately equal, i don't think there is any chance of driving the Russians out i The very best hope (imo ) is they hold them to a stalemate, most likely ending in negotiations, most likely ending with Ukraine declaring itself neutral and Russia retaining its gains on the Sea of Azov.. Reparations would be a hideously thorny issue;