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Old 18th Feb 2022, 07:24
  #988 (permalink)  
Pali
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Slovakia
Age: 58
Posts: 278
Received 237 Likes on 38 Posts
Originally Posted by Atlantic Explorer
Any particular intel that makes you think it will be Saturday?
Latest Sunday when olympic ice hockey tournament will be over. (Just joking).

My bet is that Putin will try to attach left bank of Dnieper to Russia. First of all he needs to solve the unbearable problem with water for Crimea. Also if we look at his article from July 2021 as a manifest, this "Novorossiya" thing is the irreducible minimum he considers a true Russian territory. Remember the "corridor" to East Prussia Hitler demanded?

West will not intervene by military means other than sending arms to Kiev. Russia will try to subdue Ukraine by the means of hybrid war even after this hot war but will not try to control the western parts of the country because they've learned a lesson or two in Afghanistan and Chechnya. You can't win a war over territory where the population doesn't consider your culture as a desired value.



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