Originally Posted by
SOPS
. And he knows if he says anything against his new mate Mark or his policies, it could very quickly become an election about Scott vs Mark ( if it hasn’t already),….and with some Liberal seats in the balance in WA, WA for a change, may decide the outcome of the election.
The election outcome I will almost certainly be decided before polls close in WA. LNP can’t win an election on less than 40% primary, at the moment they’re on 35%.
WA will gift ALP Swan and Pearce almost certainly. Taking them to 71 and the Coalition to 73, then another 3 to the ALP on only a very minor swing (about 1%). So they’re at 74 and even if that’s it the ALP will get enough of the crossbench for a minority government. Current polls show a wipeout of over 20 seats.
Now if there are more WA seats that are going to be in play after those two, then we will have the swing so large it’ll take out 17 Liberals MPs including
Peter Dutton.
What I mean is that whatever happens in WA is a bit irrelevant to the election result. Like it or not, Morrison’s level of support in WA is not going to increase much at all despite how much campaigning he does.