The Communist Party Of China has an impossible problem. Their pact with Chinese citizens is a promise of steadily increasing individual wealth in return for unquestioning obedience to the Communist Party. The problem is that most of the low hanging economic fruit has already been picked. Maintaining the traditional 6 to 9 % annual economic growth is becoming increasing more difficult and has resulted in what is in effect state sanctioned ponzi schemes, particularly in the housing sector, like Evergrande. When these fail many individual Chinese are directly affected.
The result is an inevitable loss of trust in the government. This sentiment is the Communist Parties greatest nightmare. Unfortunately the standard reaction for a dictatorship that feels its power is slipping is to manufacture a foreign crises and then war to redirect the populations attention. For this reason I now thing an invasion of Taiwan is a given and the only question is when it will happen.