Originally Posted by
gulliBell
Even then, China won't be soaking up many expatriate pilots. Their pilot training pipeline last year was in overdrive to the extent all the trainers were burning out. The pace of training has slackened off this year but they are still cranking out almost all the pilots they will need for the foreseeable future. Which means all the expat pilots who might otherwise have gone to China remain in the big pilot pool here, meaning there is very little progression through the local ranks to open up entry level positions for low hour CPL's.
That's not actually what I meant. I meant that if China doesn't open its doors to its own people and allow them to travel the world like what happened in 2000, which is what kicked off this unprecedented growth rate, that not even a GFC could slow down over the last 20 years. Unless China starts travelling again outside of China and the cruising industry is restored, then it follows that demand would be around 50% (a guess) what it was prior to 2020.