Originally Posted by
chookcooker
Fuhrer now stating he wants 90% AND then two months afterwards before opening borders.
More technically it was 80%-90% and a grace period for any stragglers to get a shot.
The rate of vaccine uptake per day is about 0.7%, so it’s quite possible once hitting 80% the time to high 80’s could only be about two weeks, basically I think they’re going until the rate of increase begins to level off (ie you start running into the anti-vaxxers). This is probably what all states with low Covid at the moment will aim for, Tasmania, ACT and NT have pretty much said so too. Once all’s said and done it’ll probably only be an extra a month or so.
But the supply of vaccines is increasing too, Moderna coming online soon so the supply is going to increase to two million per week (from about 1.3 million per week start of August) which should bring the dates to hit targets forward considerably.
Even with a grace period I think a nationwide Christmas reopening is possible.