PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - All borders to reopen.
View Single Post
Old 15th Aug 2021, 09:37
  #7370 (permalink)  
43Inches
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Aus
Posts: 2,792
Received 419 Likes on 231 Posts
The numbers from those graphs don’t lie. 4.9% infection rate reduced to 3.8% after vaccine. 0.38% IFR reduced to 0.14% after vaccine.
Where do you get these numbers from?

In your original post you mentioned figures of;

Infections in Unvaccinated 29365 Fatalities 112 .....IFR 0.38%
Infections in vaccinated 22943 Fatalities 32 ...........IFR 0.14%
Put in another way recovery rate in Unvaccinated was 99.62% and in Vaccinated was 99.86%
These IFR are similar to Stanford University modelling. The difference is the above data is Real World.
In the study notes it says only 10,561 were infected in total. From what I can see you added up the already cumulative numbers. If you add the 6100 and 4460 you get the 10,560 as mentioned.

This makes all your other numbers way out.

Since all subjects received testing you could safely assume the IFR a calculation of 32/6100, 0.52% for the unvaxed and 9/4460, 0.2% for vaxed.

The infection rate for the entire cohort was 10.500/1,200,000, 0.8%. Which proves nothing as the cohort does not come from the same locations rather all over Israel. There is no evidence of how many were exposed to covid and how many were affected by other factors such as self isolation procedures etc.

All that is proven is that for number of infections the vaccinated did far better than unvaccinated in surviving.

BTW, do you know what the "At Risk" numbers are about?
43Inches is offline