Right now is a bad time to try to predict anything in all honesty. What is good now may not be good beyond 2022. As Ports has rightly pointed out, an EASA licence beyond 2022 for anyone with a UK only passport may not be such a good idea. Ryanair would be the obvious choice however things remain unsolved between them and the UK CAA over their UK AOC. Wet lease rules means they are well short and the vice will get tighter come 2023.