Originally Posted by
Turnleft080
Melbourne averaged about 15 deaths per day throughout the lockdown period.
The second Melbourne lockdown went for 112 days, so that can't be the daily average. A little less than half that, say 7.25 deaths per day would be closer to the mark.
Originally Posted by
Turnleft080
Just like to compare a few facts.This time last year Melbourne was in Lockdown 2.On this day last year 26/07/20, Melbourne recorded 453 cases and 10 deaths. Melbourne averaged about 15 deaths per day throughout the lockdown period.Today with this real beast of a strain called Delta, Sydney record 145 cases 51 in community, 2 deaths, 10 in total since the lockdown started.That's by eyeballing the graphs on worldometers, and add Sydney's claytons lockdown compared to Melbourne. What do make of that. Comparatively shouldn't deaths be at least 20 a day.
A couple of things to bear in mind here. It's pointless comparing dates twelve months apart when they fall on different places on the case count curve. Further, when Melbourne did go into lockdown the daily case counts were already in three figures; they were much further along the case count curve than where Sydney is presently.
Finally, if you were seeing 10 deaths from 453 cases last year why would you now be expecting to see 20 deaths from 145 cases - that's a better than sixfold increase in the case fatality rate.