PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Covid Shot - Side Effects?
View Single Post
Old 15th Jul 2021, 07:18
  #304 (permalink)  
common cents
 
Join Date: May 2020
Location: Sydney
Posts: 24
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
None of these vaccines have been approved. All of them have been given emergency use authorisation.
Legal liability out the window. A formal approval typically requires long term safety data ie a late stage phase 3 dataset. 3 to 5 years.
Clinical trial data presented as relative risk reductions with no real absolute risk reductions . An informed decision would require both. In fact that is now the accepted standard of reporting for any clinical trial of a new intervention.
Vaccine effectiveness from real world data in UK and Israel against Delta strain infection is ~ 70%
Apparently effectiveness against hospitalisation is ~ 90%.
But the hospitalisation rate as seen so far in an unvaccinated population is ~ 10%
So in a cohort of 100000 unvaccinated people assuming a 100% infection rate about 10000 would end up in hospital.
If the same group were vaccinated then about 30000 people would be infected and about 3000 would be in hospital.
So we all risk unknown potentially serious longer term health risks with vaccines so that we may reduce our chances of infection by 30% in a world of 100% infections, which we clearly don’t have,( the real risk reduction could be 1% who knows) with no real difference in our chance of hospitalisation.
If this thread is still going in 3 years I can only hope that we continue to report sore arms and aching muscles and nothing else.
And who knows maybe one or more of these vaccines are approved. Then again....maybe not.
Good luck to all.
common cents is offline