He does seem somewhat confused in his reasoning in his post.
In paragraph 5 he reports the view of USMC friends that the Falklands was the last conventional war that will be fought, and affirms his own belief/hope that that is true. Then in paragraphs 9-11 he abuses Lord Bach and AVM Stirrup for saying essentially the same thing to the HoC Defence Committee.
He then extols the power of the RN carriers as a strategic weapon without defining in what circumstances he can envisage their being used.