Bridgestone has hit the nail on the head:
• Aviation will be the last and slowest sector to recover
•There is literally zero joined-up thinking internationally on this, border closures are an easy first-line of defence.
•Covid is not going away any time soon, if ever.
•The longer aviation is excluded from the economy, the better other parts get at adapting to a non-aviation world (e.g. using remote working tools such as Zoom). These practices are now embedded so there will be only a limited return to the “old ways” of flying.
•Once you’ve invested all that time and money into this career you don’t just leave it to work in Tescos on minimum wage, so any fantasies of experienced pilots leaving the profession are wrong.
•There is no retirement wave in Europe, it is a young pilot population.
•Aviation is still carbon-intense and will struggle to grow post-Covid due to government policies and reducing consumer demand.
All the drivers of creating jobs for pilots are absent. Apart from the “deal” where you spend £30k on 6 circuits in a 737-800 and an instagram photo with no actual job after, there are likely to be almost no jobs whatsoever.
Learn to be patient. Luck and timing are a large part of getting a job in this industry, and the timing right now could not be worse.