Originally Posted by
PoppaJo
The risk here is probably different compared to previous outbreaks as the Delta is ripping across the UK doubling cases every 10 days, as they re commence the upward trend on the graphs again.
If people walk past each other in stores and pickup the Delta which is what went on in Myer here, then it will be seeding all over the city. We won’t really know for another week or two.
Masks indoors will prevent much of that. Delta is a prick of thing to contain once seeding commences.
Its not just about cases in the UK. Unlike Aus, they’ve actually vaccinated a large number of their population.
This means the cases can rise, BUT the hospitalisation rate now becomes the key figure. If their health system can cope because the numbers in hospital is dramatically lower, no need for another lockdown.
Stop stressing about the “cases” and look at home many are actually in hospital.
Picking the last day data is available for both (June 14th). Versus a random day in May:
Daily hospitalisations:
May 8th - 109
June 14th - 221 (a 202% increase)
Daily COVID cases:
May 8th - 1986
June 14th - 7742 (a 390% increase)
Both of these figures are coming off a low base, HOWEVER….
It’s still clear that the high number of vaccinated people in the UK is making a big difference. Plenty of evidence from Israel that vaccines work in reducing the severity of COVID as well.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare
Hospitalisations in the UK.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Current daily cases.